In studying the scale invariance of an empirical time series a twofold problem arises: it is necessary to test the series for self-similarity and, once passed such a test, the goal becomes to estimate the parameter Ho of self-similarity. The estimation is therefore correct only if the sequence is truly self-similar but in general this is just assumed and not tested in advance. In this paper we suggest a solution for this problem. Given the process {X(t), t \in T}, we propose a new test based on the diameter \delta of the space of the rescaled probability distribution functions of X(t). Two necessary conditions are deduced which contribute to discriminate selfsimilar processes and a closed formula is provided for the diameter of the fractional Brownian motion (fBm). Furthermore, by properly choosing the distance function, we reduce the measure of self-similarity to the Smirnov statistics when the one-dimensional distributions of X(t) are considered. This permits the application of the well-known two-sided test due to Kolmogorov and Smirnov in order to evaluate the statistical significance of the diameter \delta, even in the case of strongly dependent sequences. As a consequence, our approach both tests the series for self-similarity and provides an estimate of the self-similarity parameter.
A New Distribution-Based Test of Self-Similarity
BIANCHI, Sergio
2004-01-01
Abstract
In studying the scale invariance of an empirical time series a twofold problem arises: it is necessary to test the series for self-similarity and, once passed such a test, the goal becomes to estimate the parameter Ho of self-similarity. The estimation is therefore correct only if the sequence is truly self-similar but in general this is just assumed and not tested in advance. In this paper we suggest a solution for this problem. Given the process {X(t), t \in T}, we propose a new test based on the diameter \delta of the space of the rescaled probability distribution functions of X(t). Two necessary conditions are deduced which contribute to discriminate selfsimilar processes and a closed formula is provided for the diameter of the fractional Brownian motion (fBm). Furthermore, by properly choosing the distance function, we reduce the measure of self-similarity to the Smirnov statistics when the one-dimensional distributions of X(t) are considered. This permits the application of the well-known two-sided test due to Kolmogorov and Smirnov in order to evaluate the statistical significance of the diameter \delta, even in the case of strongly dependent sequences. As a consequence, our approach both tests the series for self-similarity and provides an estimate of the self-similarity parameter.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
